Coverart for item
The Resource Public policy in an uncertain world : analysis and decisions, Charles F. Manski

Public policy in an uncertain world : analysis and decisions, Charles F. Manski

Label
Public policy in an uncertain world : analysis and decisions
Title
Public policy in an uncertain world
Title remainder
analysis and decisions
Statement of responsibility
Charles F. Manski
Creator
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
"Public policy advocates routinely assert that "research has shown" a particular policy to be desirable. But how reliable is the analysis in the research they invoke? And how does that analysis affect the way policy is made, on issues ranging from vaccination to minimum wage to FDA drug approval? Charles F. Manski argues here that current policy is based on untrustworthy analysis. By failing to account for uncertainty in an unpredictable world, policy analysis misleads policy makers with expressions of certitude. Public Policy in an Uncertain World critiques the status quo and offers an innovation to improve how policy research is conducted and how policy makers use research. Consumers of policy analysis, whether civil servants, journalists, or concerned citizens, need to understand research methodology well enough to properly assess reported findings. In the current model, policy researchers base their predictions on strong assumptions. But as Manski demonstrates, strong assumptions lead to less credible predictions than weaker ones. His alternative approach takes account of uncertainty and thereby moves policy analysis away from incredible certitude and toward honest portrayal of partial knowledge. Manski describes analysis of research on such topics as the effect of the death penalty on homicide, of unemployment insurance on job-seeking, and of preschooling on high school graduation. And he uses other real-world scenarios to illustrate the course he recommends, in which policy makers form reasonable decisions based on partial knowledge of outcomes, and journalists evaluate research claims more closely, with a skeptical eye toward expressions of certitude."--Publisher's website
Cataloging source
DLC
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
Manski, Charles F
Dewey number
320.6
Index
index present
LC call number
H97
LC item number
.M368 2013
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • Policy sciences
  • Public administration
  • Decision making
  • Political planning
Label
Public policy in an uncertain world : analysis and decisions, Charles F. Manski
Instantiates
Publication
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages [183]-191) and index
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
  • nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Content category
text
Content type code
  • txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
Policy Analysis. Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude ; Predicting Policy Outcomes ; Predicting Behavior. -- Policy Decisions. Planning with Partial Knowledge ; Diversified Treatment Choice ; Policy Analysis and Decisions
Control code
791491248
Dimensions
24 cm
Extent
xi, 199 pages
Isbn
9780674066892
Isbn Type
(alk. paper)
Lccn
2012014822
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
  • n
System control number
(OCoLC)791491248
Label
Public policy in an uncertain world : analysis and decisions, Charles F. Manski
Publication
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages [183]-191) and index
Carrier category
volume
Carrier category code
  • nc
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Content category
text
Content type code
  • txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
Policy Analysis. Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude ; Predicting Policy Outcomes ; Predicting Behavior. -- Policy Decisions. Planning with Partial Knowledge ; Diversified Treatment Choice ; Policy Analysis and Decisions
Control code
791491248
Dimensions
24 cm
Extent
xi, 199 pages
Isbn
9780674066892
Isbn Type
(alk. paper)
Lccn
2012014822
Media category
unmediated
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
  • n
System control number
(OCoLC)791491248

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